# The Probability of Induction

### Title

The Probability of Induction

### Subject

### Description

Originally published in the *Popular Science Monthly*, vol. 12 (April 1878): 705-718. This is the fourth installment of six papers in Peirce's "Illustrations of the Logic of Science" series.

According to Houser and Kloesel (Eds.), *The Essential Peirce*, vol. 1 (Bloomington: Indiana, 1992), p. 155, in this paper, "Peirce continues to develop his theory of probability and give rules for calculating the probability of multiple events. He compares the conceptualistic view (which refers probabilities to events) with the materialistic view (which makes probability the ratio of the frequency of favorable cases to all cases) and differentiates chance from probability. He argues for the frequency view (which he held until nearly the turn of the century) and then connects his views on probability with the nature of inductive (or synthetic) reasoning and the problem of induction, for which he considers the need for an appeal to possible worlds."

### Creator

Peirce, Charles Sanders (1839-1914)

### Source

*Popular Science Monthly*, vol. 12 (April 1878): 705-718

### Publisher

- (Full text) http://en.wikisource.org
- (PDF) http://archive.org/

### Date

1878-04

### Contributor

### Rights

### Relation

### Format

- (Full text) text/html
- (PDF) application/pdf

### Language

English

### Type

Text

### Identifier

### Coverage

### Text

### Original Format

- Date Added
- November 25, 2012
- Collection
- Illustrations of the Logic of Science, 1877-1878
- Item Type
- Document
- Tags
- chance, frequency, probability, problem of induction
- Citation
- Peirce, Charles Sanders (1839-1914), “The Probability of Induction,”
*Charles S. Peirce, Philosophical Writings*, accessed January 25, 2021, https://cspeirce.omeka.net/items/show/5.